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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University0.25+3.16vs Predicted
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2Hope College1.10+0.62vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame-0.09+1.79vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University0.31-0.01vs Predicted
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5Denison University-0.21+0.10vs Predicted
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6University of Toledo-1.63+2.25vs Predicted
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7Grand Valley State University-1.43+0.69vs Predicted
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8Ohio University-1.49-0.13vs Predicted
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10Ohio University-1.56-2.00vs Predicted
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11Michigan Technological University-0.05-6.27vs Predicted
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12Ohio University-1.56-4.00vs Predicted
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13Hope College-2.38-3.27vs Predicted
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14University of Illinois-3.38-2.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.16Ohio State University0.250.1%1st Place
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2.62Hope College1.100.3%1st Place
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4.79University of Notre Dame-0.090.1%1st Place
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3.99Ohio State University0.310.1%1st Place
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5.1Denison University-0.210.1%1st Place
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8.25University of Toledo-1.630.0%1st Place
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7.69Grand Valley State University-1.430.0%1st Place
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7.87Ohio University-1.490.0%1st Place
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8.0Ohio University-1.560.0%1st Place
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4.73Michigan Technological University-0.050.1%1st Place
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8.0Ohio University-1.560.0%1st Place
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9.73Hope College-2.380.0%1st Place
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11.07University of Illinois-3.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monica Julian | 13.6% | 14.1% | 13.9% | 16.2% | 14.2% | 12.6% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| DJ Litts | 32.3% | 23.5% | 17.9% | 12.2% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Schneeberger | 10.7% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 9.5% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Schneider | 14.1% | 15.9% | 17.2% | 13.6% | 13.8% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Margot Sherman Jollis | 8.9% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Logan | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 12.0% | 18.9% | 19.1% | 14.4% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Gary MIcu Jr | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 16.2% | 15.3% | 11.1% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Cartwright | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 13.3% | 15.0% | 17.5% | 12.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Wolff | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 17.1% | 15.8% | 13.3% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Joel Florek | 9.6% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 8.3% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Wolff | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 17.1% | 15.8% | 13.3% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Jared Miller | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 18.5% | 28.9% | 20.8% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Ponsot | 0.3% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 17.4% | 63.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.