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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hope College1.10+1.63vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University0.31+2.02vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University0.25+1.10vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame-0.09+0.84vs Predicted
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5Ohio University-1.56+3.14vs Predicted
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6Denison University-0.21-0.82vs Predicted
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7Hope College-2.38+2.59vs Predicted
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8Grand Valley State University-1.29-0.55vs Predicted
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10Ohio University-1.49-2.05vs Predicted
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11Michigan Technological University-0.05-6.27vs Predicted
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12Ohio University-1.56-3.86vs Predicted
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13University of Illinois-3.38-1.94vs Predicted
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14University of Toledo-1.63-5.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.63Hope College1.100.3%1st Place
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4.02Ohio State University0.310.1%1st Place
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4.1Ohio State University0.250.2%1st Place
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4.84University of Notre Dame-0.090.1%1st Place
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8.14Ohio University-1.560.0%1st Place
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5.18Denison University-0.210.1%1st Place
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9.59Hope College-2.380.0%1st Place
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7.45Grand Valley State University-1.290.0%1st Place
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7.95Ohio University-1.490.0%1st Place
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4.73Michigan Technological University-0.050.1%1st Place
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8.14Ohio University-1.560.0%1st Place
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11.06University of Illinois-3.380.0%1st Place
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8.32University of Toledo-1.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJ Litts | 31.9% | 24.0% | 19.1% | 11.4% | 7.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Schneider | 13.7% | 16.4% | 15.7% | 15.6% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Monica Julian | 15.8% | 13.0% | 14.7% | 14.1% | 14.1% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Schneeberger | 8.3% | 11.4% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 13.7% | 14.8% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Wolff | 1.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 16.3% | 18.8% | 14.8% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Margot Sherman Jollis | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jared Miller | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 10.9% | 16.1% | 30.6% | 18.9% | 0.0% |
| Nicholaas Zomer | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 15.8% | 12.5% | 16.8% | 9.6% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Cartwright | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 11.2% | 14.8% | 16.9% | 16.2% | 11.9% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Joel Florek | 10.3% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Wolff | 1.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 16.3% | 18.8% | 14.8% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Ponsot | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 15.8% | 65.5% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Logan | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 18.2% | 18.8% | 15.4% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.