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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hope College1.10+1.64vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University0.31+2.03vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University0.25+1.12vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame-0.09+0.83vs Predicted
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5Ohio University-1.56+3.16vs Predicted
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6Denison University-0.21-0.86vs Predicted
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8Michigan Technological University-0.05-3.30vs Predicted
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9Ohio University-1.49-1.09vs Predicted
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10Hope College-2.38-0.38vs Predicted
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11Grand Valley State University-1.29-3.56vs Predicted
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12Ohio University-1.56-3.84vs Predicted
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13University of Illinois-3.38-1.92vs Predicted
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14University of Toledo-1.63-5.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.64Hope College1.100.3%1st Place
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4.03Ohio State University0.310.1%1st Place
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4.12Ohio State University0.250.2%1st Place
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4.83University of Notre Dame-0.090.1%1st Place
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8.16Ohio University-1.560.0%1st Place
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5.14Denison University-0.210.1%1st Place
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4.7Michigan Technological University-0.050.1%1st Place
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7.91Ohio University-1.490.0%1st Place
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9.62Hope College-2.380.0%1st Place
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7.44Grand Valley State University-1.290.0%1st Place
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8.16Ohio University-1.560.0%1st Place
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11.08University of Illinois-3.380.0%1st Place
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8.33University of Toledo-1.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJ Litts | 31.1% | 24.8% | 18.5% | 11.9% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Schneider | 14.1% | 15.2% | 15.9% | 15.5% | 13.4% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Monica Julian | 15.4% | 12.8% | 15.0% | 13.9% | 15.1% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Schneeberger | 8.1% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 14.3% | 13.8% | 14.3% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Wolff | 1.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 12.3% | 17.0% | 17.4% | 15.6% | 4.9% | 0.0% |
| Margot Sherman Jollis | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 14.3% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joel Florek | 11.9% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 13.7% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Cartwright | 1.9% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 17.2% | 16.5% | 13.2% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Jared Miller | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 17.9% | 29.4% | 17.7% | 0.0% |
| Nicholaas Zomer | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 16.0% | 16.2% | 14.8% | 7.7% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Wolff | 1.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 12.3% | 17.0% | 17.4% | 15.6% | 4.9% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Ponsot | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 6.3% | 16.0% | 65.8% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Logan | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 17.1% | 19.8% | 15.6% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.