← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+1.79vs Predicted
-
2University of Pennsylvania2.06+2.67vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Naval Academy2.76+0.28vs Predicted
-
4Monmouth University-0.09+6.45vs Predicted
-
5Washington College1.81+0.56vs Predicted
-
6Stevens Institute of Technology1.40+0.57vs Predicted
-
7Villanova University1.59-1.26vs Predicted
-
8Penn State University1.35-1.40vs Predicted
-
9Drexel University-0.06+1.46vs Predicted
-
10Ocean County College0.79-1.66vs Predicted
-
11University of Delaware0.40-1.74vs Predicted
-
12Rutgers University-1.25+0.70vs Predicted
-
13University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.10-3.07vs Predicted
-
14Princeton University0.55-5.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.79St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.3%1st Place
-
4.67University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
-
3.28U. S. Naval Academy2.760.2%1st Place
-
10.45Monmouth University-0.090.0%1st Place
-
5.56Washington College1.810.1%1st Place
-
6.57Stevens Institute of Technology1.400.1%1st Place
-
5.74Villanova University1.590.1%1st Place
-
6.6Penn State University1.350.1%1st Place
-
10.46Drexel University-0.060.0%1st Place
-
8.34Ocean County College0.790.0%1st Place
-
9.26University of Delaware0.400.0%1st Place
-
12.7Rutgers University-1.250.0%1st Place
-
9.93University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.100.0%1st Place
-
8.66Princeton University0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carolyn Smith | 29.9% | 25.1% | 15.8% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joe Farned | 10.3% | 13.3% | 14.0% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jimmy Madigan | 22.1% | 20.4% | 17.3% | 15.6% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brogan Savage | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 14.6% | 21.4% | 11.1% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 7.0% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Julian Fraize | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Domenic Re | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| John Shanahan | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Jeffrey Proko | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 13.8% | 15.9% | 19.5% | 11.8% |
| Liam Boyle | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 5.3% | 2.4% |
| Caroline Udell | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 12.1% | 4.2% |
| Taylor Niles | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 17.5% | 57.6% |
| Samuel Haksteen | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 14.9% | 14.5% | 9.8% |
| Andrew Grasso | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 14.4% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 6.1% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.