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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.06+3.76vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+0.74vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.76+0.28vs Predicted
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4Monmouth University-0.09+6.47vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware0.40+4.25vs Predicted
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6Washington College1.81-0.46vs Predicted
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7Stevens Institute of Technology1.40-0.73vs Predicted
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8Princeton University0.55+0.75vs Predicted
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9Villanova University1.59-2.98vs Predicted
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10Penn State University1.35-3.28vs Predicted
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11Drexel University-0.06-0.55vs Predicted
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12University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.10-2.00vs Predicted
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13Ocean County College0.79-4.89vs Predicted
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14Rutgers University-1.25-1.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.76University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
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2.74St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.3%1st Place
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3.28U. S. Naval Academy2.760.2%1st Place
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10.47Monmouth University-0.090.0%1st Place
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9.25University of Delaware0.400.0%1st Place
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5.54Washington College1.810.1%1st Place
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6.27Stevens Institute of Technology1.400.1%1st Place
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8.75Princeton University0.550.0%1st Place
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6.02Villanova University1.590.1%1st Place
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6.72Penn State University1.350.0%1st Place
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10.45Drexel University-0.060.0%1st Place
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10.0University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.100.0%1st Place
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8.11Ocean County College0.790.0%1st Place
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12.64Rutgers University-1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Farned | 11.1% | 12.5% | 14.2% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Smith | 29.7% | 24.0% | 18.7% | 12.1% | 7.9% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jimmy Madigan | 22.2% | 20.6% | 18.3% | 13.7% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brogan Savage | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 16.3% | 20.7% | 10.7% |
| Caroline Udell | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 14.6% | 10.2% | 4.8% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Julian Fraize | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Grasso | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 3.4% |
| Domenic Re | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| John Shanahan | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Jeffrey Proko | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 15.1% | 19.7% | 12.7% |
| Samuel Haksteen | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 16.5% | 14.3% | 8.8% |
| Liam Boyle | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 1.7% |
| Taylor Niles | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 9.0% | 14.9% | 57.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.