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📊 Prediction Accuracy
78.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.76+2.31vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+0.76vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.06+1.76vs Predicted
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4Washington College1.81+1.46vs Predicted
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5Villanova University1.59+1.10vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University-0.09+4.54vs Predicted
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7Stevens Institute of Technology1.40-0.78vs Predicted
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8Penn State University1.35-1.39vs Predicted
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9Princeton University0.55-0.11vs Predicted
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10University of Delaware0.40-0.70vs Predicted
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11Drexel University-0.06-0.60vs Predicted
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12University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.10-1.99vs Predicted
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13Ocean County College0.79-4.96vs Predicted
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14Rutgers University-1.25-1.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.31U. S. Naval Academy2.760.2%1st Place
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2.76St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.3%1st Place
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4.76University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
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5.46Washington College1.810.1%1st Place
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6.1Villanova University1.590.1%1st Place
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10.54Monmouth University-0.090.0%1st Place
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6.22Stevens Institute of Technology1.400.1%1st Place
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6.61Penn State University1.350.1%1st Place
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8.89Princeton University0.550.0%1st Place
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9.3University of Delaware0.400.0%1st Place
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10.4Drexel University-0.060.0%1st Place
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10.01University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.100.0%1st Place
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8.04Ocean County College0.790.0%1st Place
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12.61Rutgers University-1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Madigan | 22.4% | 22.4% | 17.4% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Smith | 31.1% | 22.4% | 17.4% | 13.0% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joe Farned | 10.9% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 6.6% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Domenic Re | 5.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Brogan Savage | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 15.8% | 19.6% | 13.2% |
| Julian Fraize | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| John Shanahan | 5.0% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Grasso | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 8.2% | 2.8% |
| Caroline Udell | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 4.8% |
| Jeffrey Proko | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 16.4% | 18.5% | 12.1% |
| Samuel Haksteen | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 13.9% | 16.9% | 8.6% |
| Liam Boyle | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 4.7% | 1.6% |
| Taylor Niles | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 15.3% | 56.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.