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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College3.00+3.33vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32+1.75vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.53+0.39vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.10+0.14vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.21+1.03vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.20+0.05vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.81-3.20vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.59-1.72vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire0.76-1.30vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.00-4.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.33Eckerd College3.000.2%1st Place
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3.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.2%1st Place
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3.39Brown University3.530.2%1st Place
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4.14Yale University3.100.1%1st Place
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6.03Boston University2.210.1%1st Place
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6.05Bowdoin College2.200.1%1st Place
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4.8Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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7.28University of Vermont1.590.0%1st Place
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8.7University of New Hampshire0.760.0%1st Place
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6.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Dorris | 15.3% | 11.9% | 14.7% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 17.2% | 18.6% | 14.8% | 14.0% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Adler | 21.6% | 18.2% | 17.0% | 15.0% | 11.9% | 8.4% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Genoa Warner | 14.0% | 15.4% | 14.5% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Erica Lush | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 12.3% | 14.3% | 15.1% | 14.8% | 5.8% |
| Emily McNeil | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 15.0% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 6.6% |
| Morgan Russom | 9.1% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 13.9% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 5.2% | 1.1% |
| Sara Anibal | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 12.5% | 15.2% | 23.0% | 18.9% |
| Paige Fagan | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 5.5% | 9.5% | 15.3% | 56.4% |
| Jillian Reddy | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 18.3% | 18.8% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.