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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+1.82vs Predicted
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2Washington College1.81+3.25vs Predicted
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3Stevens Institute of Technology1.40+3.45vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.06+0.81vs Predicted
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5Villanova University1.59+1.12vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.76-2.61vs Predicted
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7Penn State University1.35-0.62vs Predicted
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8Monmouth University-0.09+2.31vs Predicted
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9Ocean County College0.79-0.71vs Predicted
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10University of Delaware0.40-0.70vs Predicted
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11Princeton University0.55-2.09vs Predicted
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12University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.10-1.92vs Predicted
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13Rutgers University-1.25-0.40vs Predicted
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14Drexel University-0.06-3.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.82St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.3%1st Place
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5.25Washington College1.810.1%1st Place
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6.45Stevens Institute of Technology1.400.1%1st Place
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4.81University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
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6.12Villanova University1.590.1%1st Place
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3.39U. S. Naval Academy2.760.2%1st Place
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6.38Penn State University1.350.1%1st Place
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10.31Monmouth University-0.090.0%1st Place
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8.29Ocean County College0.790.0%1st Place
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9.3University of Delaware0.400.0%1st Place
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8.91Princeton University0.550.0%1st Place
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10.08University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.100.0%1st Place
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12.6Rutgers University-1.250.0%1st Place
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10.28Drexel University-0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carolyn Smith | 30.9% | 23.0% | 15.7% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 8.7% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Julian Fraize | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Joe Farned | 9.9% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Domenic Re | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Jimmy Madigan | 20.9% | 19.0% | 18.5% | 15.0% | 10.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Shanahan | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Brogan Savage | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 12.1% | 14.6% | 20.8% | 12.0% |
| Liam Boyle | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 4.6% | 2.2% |
| Caroline Udell | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 15.2% | 10.5% | 4.7% |
| Andrew Grasso | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 8.7% | 3.5% |
| Samuel Haksteen | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 14.2% | 15.5% | 10.6% |
| Taylor Niles | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 15.4% | 57.5% |
| Jeffrey Proko | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 12.2% | 17.8% | 20.4% | 8.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.