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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+1.81vs Predicted
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2Washington College1.81+3.26vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.76+0.25vs Predicted
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4Stevens Institute of Technology1.40+2.51vs Predicted
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5Villanova University1.59+1.12vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.06-1.07vs Predicted
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7University of Delaware0.40+1.99vs Predicted
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8Monmouth University-0.09+2.33vs Predicted
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9Penn State University1.35-2.30vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.10+0.06vs Predicted
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11Princeton University0.55-2.08vs Predicted
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12Drexel University-0.06-1.60vs Predicted
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13Ocean County College0.79-4.91vs Predicted
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14Rutgers University-1.25-1.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.81St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.3%1st Place
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5.26Washington College1.810.1%1st Place
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3.25U. S. Naval Academy2.760.2%1st Place
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6.51Stevens Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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6.12Villanova University1.590.1%1st Place
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4.93University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
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8.99University of Delaware0.400.0%1st Place
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10.33Monmouth University-0.090.0%1st Place
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6.7Penn State University1.350.1%1st Place
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10.06University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.100.0%1st Place
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8.92Princeton University0.550.0%1st Place
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10.4Drexel University-0.060.0%1st Place
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8.09Ocean County College0.790.0%1st Place
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12.63Rutgers University-1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carolyn Smith | 30.4% | 24.3% | 15.7% | 12.4% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 8.9% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jimmy Madigan | 23.1% | 22.4% | 14.6% | 15.1% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Fraize | 4.7% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 13.4% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Domenic Re | 5.7% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Joe Farned | 9.5% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Udell | 2.6% | 1.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 10.7% | 3.2% |
| Brogan Savage | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 14.2% | 19.4% | 12.6% |
| John Shanahan | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Samuel Haksteen | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 16.8% | 16.3% | 8.9% |
| Andrew Grasso | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 3.6% |
| Jeffrey Proko | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 17.1% | 18.8% | 11.0% |
| Liam Boyle | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 1.7% |
| Taylor Niles | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 13.8% | 58.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.