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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College2.45+2.34vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.49+2.98vs Predicted
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3Villanova University1.15+2.77vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.63-2.17vs Predicted
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5Ocean County College0.25+3.13vs Predicted
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6Stevens Institute of Technology0.61+1.20vs Predicted
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7University of Delaware-0.39+2.45vs Predicted
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8Rutgers University-0.87+2.76vs Predicted
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9Monmouth University-0.72+1.57vs Predicted
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10Drexel University-0.33-0.40vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-7.70vs Predicted
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12University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.57-1.84vs Predicted
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13Princeton University-0.29-3.62vs Predicted
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14Penn State University-0.78-3.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.34Washington College2.450.1%1st Place
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4.98University of Pennsylvania1.490.1%1st Place
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5.77Villanova University1.150.1%1st Place
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1.83U. S. Naval Academy3.630.5%1st Place
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8.13Ocean County College0.250.0%1st Place
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7.2Stevens Institute of Technology0.610.0%1st Place
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9.45University of Delaware-0.390.0%1st Place
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10.76Rutgers University-0.870.0%1st Place
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10.57Monmouth University-0.720.0%1st Place
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9.6Drexel University-0.330.0%1st Place
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3.3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.2%1st Place
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10.16University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.570.0%1st Place
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9.38Princeton University-0.290.0%1st Place
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10.53Penn State University-0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Siegel | 14.8% | 22.9% | 22.2% | 16.0% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Garth | 5.9% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 15.9% | 16.0% | 14.3% | 12.0% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| David Alldian | 5.0% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 13.8% | 14.7% | 14.7% | 13.4% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Gary Prieto | 50.0% | 27.9% | 14.0% | 6.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Nunn | 1.1% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 13.6% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% |
| Thomas Slook | 1.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Evan Shone | 0.6% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 7.5% |
| Audrey Meehan | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 24.6% |
| Amanda Nuse | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 15.9% | 16.8% |
| Robert Stricek | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 7.8% |
| Greer Wattson | 15.8% | 20.1% | 23.2% | 17.4% | 12.7% | 6.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Collins | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 15.2% |
| Lucy Hayes | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 7.2% |
| Sarah Culp | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 13.3% | 16.9% | 17.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.