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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+2.26vs Predicted
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2Washington College2.45+1.26vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.63-1.18vs Predicted
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4Stevens Institute of Technology0.61+3.13vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.49+0.12vs Predicted
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6Villanova University1.15-0.10vs Predicted
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7Ocean County College0.25+0.78vs Predicted
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8Drexel University-0.33+1.45vs Predicted
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9University of Delaware-0.39+0.78vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.57+0.20vs Predicted
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11Princeton University-0.29-1.49vs Predicted
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12Monmouth University-0.72-1.47vs Predicted
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13Penn State University-0.78-2.46vs Predicted
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14Rutgers University-0.87-3.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.26St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.2%1st Place
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3.26Washington College2.450.2%1st Place
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1.82U. S. Naval Academy3.630.5%1st Place
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7.13Stevens Institute of Technology0.610.0%1st Place
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5.12University of Pennsylvania1.490.1%1st Place
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5.9Villanova University1.150.0%1st Place
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7.78Ocean County College0.250.0%1st Place
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9.45Drexel University-0.330.0%1st Place
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9.78University of Delaware-0.390.0%1st Place
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10.2University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.570.0%1st Place
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9.51Princeton University-0.290.0%1st Place
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10.53Monmouth University-0.720.0%1st Place
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10.54Penn State University-0.780.0%1st Place
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10.72Rutgers University-0.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greer Wattson | 15.1% | 24.4% | 21.6% | 15.9% | 11.5% | 7.1% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Siegel | 15.2% | 21.9% | 22.9% | 18.8% | 11.7% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gary Prieto | 51.6% | 26.3% | 13.9% | 5.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Slook | 1.5% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 15.9% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| Caroline Garth | 5.6% | 7.4% | 12.2% | 17.0% | 15.5% | 15.5% | 11.8% | 7.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Alldian | 3.6% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 12.4% | 15.5% | 15.6% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Mitchell Nunn | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Robert Stricek | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 9.0% |
| Evan Shone | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 8.8% |
| Joseph Collins | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 13.9% | 14.5% |
| Lucy Hayes | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 8.8% |
| Amanda Nuse | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 19.0% |
| Sarah Culp | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 15.9% | 18.0% |
| Audrey Meehan | 0.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 14.9% | 17.8% | 19.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.