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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Villanova University1.15+4.81vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.63-0.22vs Predicted
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3Washington College2.45+0.30vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.49+1.10vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-1.69vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware-0.39+3.80vs Predicted
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7Ocean County College0.25+0.82vs Predicted
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8Stevens Institute of Technology0.61-0.91vs Predicted
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9Rutgers University-0.87+1.87vs Predicted
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10Princeton University-0.29-0.51vs Predicted
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11Monmouth University-0.72-0.47vs Predicted
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12Drexel University-0.33-2.46vs Predicted
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13University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.57-2.95vs Predicted
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14Penn State University-0.78-3.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.81Villanova University1.150.0%1st Place
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1.78U. S. Naval Academy3.630.5%1st Place
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3.3Washington College2.450.2%1st Place
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5.1University of Pennsylvania1.490.0%1st Place
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3.31St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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9.8University of Delaware-0.390.0%1st Place
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7.82Ocean County College0.250.0%1st Place
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7.09Stevens Institute of Technology0.610.0%1st Place
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10.87Rutgers University-0.870.0%1st Place
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9.49Princeton University-0.290.0%1st Place
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10.53Monmouth University-0.720.0%1st Place
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9.54Drexel University-0.330.0%1st Place
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10.05University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.570.0%1st Place
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10.51Penn State University-0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Alldian | 3.9% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 14.2% | 15.5% | 15.4% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Gary Prieto | 52.9% | 26.7% | 12.3% | 6.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Siegel | 15.2% | 22.8% | 20.7% | 17.8% | 13.1% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Garth | 4.5% | 8.3% | 13.3% | 14.9% | 18.8% | 14.5% | 11.3% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Greer Wattson | 13.9% | 23.0% | 23.4% | 16.2% | 12.4% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evan Shone | 0.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 10.5% |
| Mitchell Nunn | 1.8% | 1.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.3% |
| Thomas Slook | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Audrey Meehan | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 14.8% | 23.3% |
| Lucy Hayes | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 7.2% |
| Amanda Nuse | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 18.1% |
| Robert Stricek | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 8.2% |
| Joseph Collins | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 14.4% | 11.8% |
| Sarah Culp | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 14.2% | 15.2% | 17.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.