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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College2.45+2.31vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.63-0.18vs Predicted
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3Villanova University1.15+2.77vs Predicted
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4Ocean County College0.25+4.05vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-0.29+4.48vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-2.67vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.49-2.08vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-0.39+1.57vs Predicted
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9Stevens Institute of Technology0.61-1.87vs Predicted
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10Monmouth University-0.72+0.56vs Predicted
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11Drexel University-0.33-1.38vs Predicted
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12University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.57-1.85vs Predicted
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13Penn State University-0.78-2.47vs Predicted
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14Rutgers University-0.87-3.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.31Washington College2.450.2%1st Place
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1.82U. S. Naval Academy3.630.5%1st Place
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5.77Villanova University1.150.0%1st Place
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8.05Ocean County College0.250.0%1st Place
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9.48Princeton University-0.290.0%1st Place
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3.33St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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4.92University of Pennsylvania1.490.1%1st Place
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9.57University of Delaware-0.390.0%1st Place
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7.13Stevens Institute of Technology0.610.0%1st Place
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10.56Monmouth University-0.720.0%1st Place
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9.62Drexel University-0.330.0%1st Place
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10.15University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.570.0%1st Place
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10.53Penn State University-0.780.0%1st Place
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10.77Rutgers University-0.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Siegel | 15.7% | 21.5% | 22.2% | 18.1% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gary Prieto | 50.4% | 28.6% | 13.2% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Alldian | 4.0% | 6.3% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Nunn | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% |
| Lucy Hayes | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 8.1% |
| Greer Wattson | 15.0% | 21.2% | 22.4% | 18.0% | 11.9% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Garth | 6.5% | 8.7% | 13.4% | 17.5% | 15.4% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Evan Shone | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 10.3% |
| Thomas Slook | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 7.1% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 14.4% | 13.2% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Amanda Nuse | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 16.1% | 18.0% |
| Robert Stricek | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 9.3% |
| Joseph Collins | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 14.3% |
| Sarah Culp | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 14.0% | 16.6% | 17.1% |
| Audrey Meehan | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 17.8% | 20.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.