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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+2.30vs Predicted
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2Washington College2.45+1.30vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.63-1.17vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.49+1.06vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-0.39+4.71vs Predicted
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6Stevens Institute of Technology0.61+1.17vs Predicted
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7Villanova University1.15-1.38vs Predicted
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8Princeton University-0.29+1.33vs Predicted
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9Penn State University-0.78+1.74vs Predicted
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10Monmouth University-0.72+0.57vs Predicted
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11Rutgers University-0.87-0.08vs Predicted
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12Ocean County College0.25-3.96vs Predicted
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13University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.57-2.96vs Predicted
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14Drexel University-0.33-4.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.2%1st Place
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3.3Washington College2.450.2%1st Place
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1.83U. S. Naval Academy3.630.5%1st Place
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5.06University of Pennsylvania1.490.1%1st Place
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9.71University of Delaware-0.390.0%1st Place
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7.17Stevens Institute of Technology0.610.0%1st Place
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5.62Villanova University1.150.0%1st Place
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9.33Princeton University-0.290.0%1st Place
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10.74Penn State University-0.780.0%1st Place
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10.57Monmouth University-0.720.0%1st Place
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10.92Rutgers University-0.870.0%1st Place
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8.04Ocean County College0.250.0%1st Place
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10.04University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.570.0%1st Place
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9.37Drexel University-0.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greer Wattson | 15.2% | 23.9% | 21.4% | 15.7% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Siegel | 15.6% | 20.4% | 23.7% | 17.0% | 13.0% | 5.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gary Prieto | 51.1% | 26.7% | 14.2% | 5.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Garth | 5.4% | 7.3% | 14.4% | 14.4% | 18.1% | 15.8% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Evan Shone | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 9.1% |
| Thomas Slook | 1.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| David Alldian | 4.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 12.9% | 17.7% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 10.3% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Hayes | 0.9% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 7.8% |
| Sarah Culp | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 15.4% | 15.4% | 19.2% |
| Amanda Nuse | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 14.2% | 19.4% |
| Audrey Meehan | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 13.8% | 16.1% | 23.1% |
| Mitchell Nunn | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| Joseph Collins | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 15.1% | 11.5% |
| Robert Stricek | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 13.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.