Race 1A

central-series-2

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Scott Barbano 18.2% 15.9% 15.9% 14.0% 11.2% 10.2% 6.6% 3.9% 2.6% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Sam Alexander 8.5% 10.1% 10.9% 10.3% 12.5% 10.2% 11.2% 11.2% 8.1% 4.8% 2.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Shannon Killian 4.0% 4.5% 4.9% 7.7% 7.0% 9.6% 8.9% 12.5% 15.9% 16.5% 6.1% 2.4% 0.0%
Nick Sertl 20.8% 18.3% 16.2% 13.5% 11.8% 6.6% 7.5% 2.7% 1.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Camille Matile 7.4% 7.3% 7.6% 8.9% 8.6% 9.3% 11.8% 12.0% 11.5% 10.3% 4.4% 0.9% 0.0%
Emilia Clementi 4.1% 4.0% 5.8% 6.1% 6.9% 8.9% 9.6% 12.2% 15.0% 15.6% 9.4% 2.3% 0.1%
Henry Dumke 11.1% 11.0% 9.6% 11.0% 11.4% 13.1% 9.3% 9.1% 7.6% 5.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Malcolm Lamphere 13.3% 16.4% 13.6% 13.2% 13.3% 10.7% 8.8% 5.4% 2.9% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Lizzy Hamilton 6.7% 7.0% 9.6% 7.7% 8.7% 10.7% 12.7% 12.8% 10.6% 9.2% 3.4% 0.8% 0.1%
Henry Stames 4.8% 3.7% 5.1% 5.6% 6.3% 8.0% 9.2% 12.1% 14.7% 17.5% 8.8% 3.4% 0.8%
Shane Baker 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.7% 0.6% 0.9% 1.9% 2.6% 3.3% 7.2% 25.2% 33.7% 22.7%
Kelsey Delosh 0.2% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 1.1% 1.5% 3.6% 12.3% 23.9% 54.5%
Holly McGarr 0.4% 0.8% 0.3% 1.2% 1.2% 1.0% 1.8% 2.4% 4.6% 6.3% 26.2% 32.0% 21.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.