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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.53+2.26vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32+1.72vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College3.00+1.44vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.00+1.53vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.10-1.90vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire0.76+1.61vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.59-0.57vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.20-2.94vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.81-5.24vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.21-4.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.26Brown University3.530.2%1st Place
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3.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.2%1st Place
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4.44Eckerd College3.000.1%1st Place
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6.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.000.0%1st Place
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4.1Yale University3.100.2%1st Place
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8.61University of New Hampshire0.760.0%1st Place
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7.43University of Vermont1.590.0%1st Place
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6.06Bowdoin College2.200.1%1st Place
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4.76Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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6.1Boston University2.210.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Adler | 23.5% | 21.5% | 16.7% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 18.3% | 17.1% | 16.6% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Charlotte Dorris | 13.0% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 13.9% | 14.3% | 12.9% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Jillian Reddy | 3.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 16.7% | 18.3% | 8.7% |
| Genoa Warner | 15.1% | 15.5% | 12.8% | 15.2% | 13.7% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Paige Fagan | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 16.0% | 55.2% |
| Sara Anibal | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 17.0% | 24.2% | 19.7% |
| Emily McNeil | 5.3% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 15.7% | 14.6% | 13.4% | 6.4% |
| Morgan Russom | 11.6% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 4.7% | 1.4% |
| Erica Lush | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 14.6% | 15.0% | 6.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.