Race 2A

central-series-2

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Henry Stames 3.8% 3.7% 3.9% 7.3% 5.9% 9.4% 8.5% 10.7% 15.9% 17.5% 10.5% 2.3% 0.6%
Sam Alexander 8.4% 10.2% 10.3% 10.5% 12.1% 11.3% 10.7% 10.2% 8.6% 5.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
Malcolm Lamphere 13.9% 13.4% 16.0% 11.5% 12.2% 12.3% 8.3% 5.9% 4.0% 2.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Nick Sertl 20.8% 19.2% 15.2% 15.2% 9.1% 8.2% 6.0% 4.0% 1.3% 0.9% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Scott Barbano 19.6% 17.4% 14.5% 13.9% 12.5% 9.2% 5.0% 4.7% 1.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Camille Matile 6.3% 6.9% 8.9% 7.6% 9.8% 8.6% 13.3% 12.0% 11.3% 10.3% 4.0% 0.9% 0.1%
Emilia Clementi 4.7% 4.7% 5.9% 6.3% 6.9% 6.2% 10.6% 11.0% 15.9% 16.6% 8.8% 2.1% 0.3%
Henry Dumke 9.4% 11.8% 9.8% 10.3% 11.7% 12.6% 12.1% 11.4% 6.0% 3.9% 0.9% 0.0% 0.1%
Shannon Killian 4.6% 5.2% 5.9% 5.7% 7.0% 8.4% 9.7% 12.9% 13.9% 16.0% 7.7% 2.9% 0.1%
Lizzy Hamilton 7.4% 6.5% 8.2% 10.2% 10.7% 10.4% 10.9% 11.7% 11.4% 7.4% 4.4% 0.8% 0.0%
Holly McGarr 0.5% 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.9% 1.3% 2.9% 2.3% 5.2% 8.4% 29.7% 30.0% 17.3%
Kelsey Delosh 0.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.7% 0.9% 1.2% 2.0% 3.4% 12.1% 24.1% 54.2%
Shane Baker 0.5% 0.1% 0.6% 0.7% 0.9% 1.4% 1.1% 2.0% 2.6% 6.7% 19.9% 36.3% 27.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.