Race 3A

central-series-2

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Emilia Clementi 3.6% 5.0% 4.9% 6.1% 6.7% 8.6% 9.0% 12.2% 13.9% 19.0% 7.8% 2.9% 0.3%
Henry Dumke 9.3% 10.3% 11.4% 11.6% 11.0% 10.0% 11.0% 10.8% 7.8% 4.1% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Malcolm Lamphere 13.7% 14.6% 12.8% 13.8% 12.9% 10.8% 9.2% 5.6% 3.8% 2.1% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Camille Matile 5.4% 7.4% 8.5% 9.0% 8.9% 9.5% 10.2% 13.0% 12.3% 10.7% 4.2% 0.7% 0.2%
Scott Barbano 20.1% 16.3% 14.0% 14.7% 11.6% 9.3% 6.9% 3.7% 1.7% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Nick Sertl 21.5% 19.8% 16.0% 13.0% 11.0% 7.2% 5.1% 3.2% 1.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Sam Alexander 10.7% 9.8% 10.4% 10.0% 10.5% 12.6% 11.2% 8.6% 8.7% 5.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
Lizzy Hamilton 6.9% 7.2% 8.9% 7.4% 10.2% 11.5% 14.2% 10.3% 10.9% 9.5% 2.2% 0.7% 0.1%
Holly McGarr 0.6% 0.3% 1.3% 1.0% 1.8% 1.4% 1.4% 2.7% 4.4% 7.2% 26.0% 31.0% 20.9%
Kelsey Delosh 0.2% 0.1% 0.4% 0.7% 0.9% 0.4% 0.6% 1.6% 2.3% 3.5% 13.3% 26.5% 49.5%
Henry Stames 3.3% 4.4% 6.4% 6.4% 5.7% 8.9% 9.5% 12.3% 15.0% 15.8% 9.5% 2.7% 0.1%
Shane Baker 0.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.6% 0.9% 1.1% 2.2% 1.9% 3.9% 4.6% 22.8% 32.8% 28.1%
Shannon Killian 4.4% 4.3% 4.7% 5.7% 7.9% 8.7% 9.5% 14.1% 13.5% 15.0% 9.9% 1.8% 0.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.