Race 4A

central-series-2

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Scott Barbano 18.1% 16.2% 16.2% 13.6% 11.4% 11.1% 5.3% 4.3% 2.4% 1.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Malcolm Lamphere 14.7% 15.1% 13.6% 12.1% 13.4% 10.0% 8.5% 5.9% 3.8% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Sam Alexander 8.1% 10.2% 10.8% 10.7% 10.9% 11.3% 12.8% 10.2% 8.6% 4.9% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Emilia Clementi 3.5% 3.8% 5.8% 5.7% 7.3% 8.4% 10.6% 10.6% 15.1% 17.4% 9.0% 2.4% 0.4%
Camille Matile 6.4% 7.4% 7.0% 9.9% 8.9% 8.3% 11.0% 14.1% 11.3% 10.7% 4.3% 0.7% 0.0%
Lizzy Hamilton 7.4% 8.0% 8.4% 7.9% 10.9% 11.7% 11.8% 10.8% 10.1% 8.8% 3.5% 0.6% 0.1%
Henry Stames 4.5% 4.5% 4.8% 6.6% 5.3% 8.4% 9.2% 10.9% 15.9% 17.7% 9.1% 2.8% 0.3%
Nick Sertl 20.4% 19.1% 15.8% 14.1% 10.8% 9.6% 5.8% 2.0% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Shannon Killian 4.5% 5.7% 4.7% 6.1% 7.5% 7.3% 11.6% 13.1% 13.7% 14.9% 8.1% 2.5% 0.3%
Henry Dumke 11.0% 9.1% 11.7% 11.7% 12.1% 10.4% 8.9% 10.3% 8.2% 4.5% 1.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Holly McGarr 0.5% 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.6% 1.9% 2.1% 3.8% 4.9% 8.0% 29.8% 29.4% 17.3%
Kelsey Delosh 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.7% 1.0% 1.6% 1.2% 3.6% 11.6% 24.6% 54.4%
Shane Baker 0.6% 0.2% 0.3% 0.6% 0.8% 0.9% 1.4% 2.4% 2.9% 5.9% 20.5% 36.3% 27.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.