Race 5A

central-series-2

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Malcolm Lamphere 14.6% 14.0% 13.8% 14.7% 11.6% 9.8% 10.1% 5.5% 3.4% 1.7% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Nick Sertl 20.4% 19.0% 15.5% 14.2% 10.7% 8.2% 5.9% 3.4% 1.8% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Henry Dumke 7.9% 10.7% 12.7% 9.0% 12.4% 11.3% 11.9% 9.6% 7.4% 5.1% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Sam Alexander 9.6% 8.5% 10.0% 12.7% 11.7% 10.5% 9.8% 10.9% 8.9% 5.4% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Scott Barbano 18.9% 17.5% 15.8% 12.5% 11.7% 8.6% 7.6% 3.4% 2.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Holly McGarr 0.4% 0.4% 0.6% 0.9% 1.8% 1.7% 2.0% 3.8% 3.4% 6.9% 28.9% 30.0% 19.2%
Shannon Killian 6.0% 5.0% 5.7% 7.3% 5.9% 8.2% 9.8% 12.3% 15.2% 16.1% 6.4% 1.7% 0.4%
Lizzy Hamilton 7.2% 8.0% 8.1% 8.1% 9.5% 13.5% 10.2% 12.0% 11.0% 8.3% 3.5% 0.5% 0.1%
Camille Matile 6.5% 6.7% 6.6% 7.7% 9.7% 11.1% 10.8% 11.7% 13.7% 10.7% 3.7% 1.1% 0.0%
Henry Stames 4.1% 5.5% 3.9% 5.3% 6.3% 7.5% 10.3% 11.3% 12.6% 19.4% 9.4% 4.2% 0.2%
Emilia Clementi 3.7% 4.3% 6.1% 6.6% 7.0% 8.8% 9.3% 13.3% 14.9% 14.3% 9.1% 2.4% 0.2%
Kelsey Delosh 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.5% 1.4% 2.3% 3.9% 11.6% 26.1% 52.2%
Shane Baker 0.5% 0.1% 0.9% 0.7% 0.9% 0.7% 1.8% 1.4% 2.7% 6.2% 22.8% 33.6% 27.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.