Race 6A

central-series-2

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Scott Barbano 18.6% 16.6% 15.6% 11.8% 13.9% 8.8% 6.2% 4.5% 2.7% 1.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Nick Sertl 21.0% 18.8% 14.4% 14.7% 10.2% 9.1% 5.8% 3.5% 1.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Henry Dumke 7.7% 10.6% 12.0% 12.1% 9.9% 12.1% 11.3% 10.7% 6.6% 5.4% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Henry Stames 3.2% 4.4% 4.6% 5.2% 7.0% 8.2% 9.3% 10.9% 14.5% 19.0% 11.0% 2.3% 0.4%
Lizzy Hamilton 7.9% 7.7% 7.9% 10.7% 7.9% 10.3% 11.9% 12.5% 11.0% 8.0% 3.7% 0.5% 0.0%
Malcolm Lamphere 15.0% 14.2% 15.5% 13.0% 11.6% 9.4% 8.3% 6.7% 3.2% 2.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Sam Alexander 9.9% 11.0% 9.8% 9.4% 11.7% 13.5% 10.0% 8.5% 9.3% 4.5% 1.8% 0.6% 0.0%
Camille Matile 6.6% 6.4% 6.5% 9.3% 10.0% 10.5% 11.2% 12.4% 12.6% 9.3% 4.2% 1.0% 0.0%
Emilia Clementi 4.3% 4.3% 4.9% 5.3% 7.2% 5.5% 10.6% 12.9% 16.5% 15.5% 9.7% 2.7% 0.6%
Holly McGarr 0.4% 0.5% 1.4% 0.9% 0.9% 2.0% 2.0% 3.0% 3.2% 8.2% 25.9% 32.2% 19.4%
Shannon Killian 4.5% 4.7% 7.2% 6.6% 8.0% 9.3% 10.6% 11.9% 13.4% 15.7% 6.5% 1.5% 0.1%
Shane Baker 0.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.9% 1.1% 0.9% 1.8% 1.5% 3.3% 7.1% 21.4% 32.9% 27.9%
Kelsey Delosh 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% 0.6% 0.4% 1.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.2% 13.5% 25.9% 51.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.