Race 8A

central-series-2

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Henry Stames 3.8% 3.8% 4.0% 6.2% 6.9% 8.8% 9.1% 10.9% 13.7% 19.2% 10.8% 2.3% 0.5%
Henry Dumke 9.0% 9.9% 11.3% 11.8% 12.5% 12.4% 9.7% 9.8% 7.1% 4.5% 1.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Lizzy Hamilton 5.3% 7.7% 10.2% 7.9% 10.0% 9.9% 13.8% 11.9% 11.2% 8.5% 2.4% 1.2% 0.0%
Scott Barbano 18.8% 18.2% 15.6% 13.8% 10.6% 8.3% 6.8% 4.0% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Nick Sertl 22.0% 18.5% 16.0% 13.8% 10.5% 7.9% 5.8% 3.1% 1.7% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Emilia Clementi 3.7% 5.1% 5.3% 6.4% 8.3% 5.9% 10.3% 11.7% 14.8% 16.6% 9.3% 2.4% 0.2%
Malcolm Lamphere 16.5% 13.9% 12.6% 13.5% 12.9% 10.0% 8.2% 5.9% 4.2% 1.4% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Camille Matile 6.0% 8.9% 7.1% 7.2% 8.4% 11.3% 11.8% 12.6% 13.1% 10.1% 3.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Sam Alexander 8.7% 8.1% 11.5% 10.8% 11.5% 12.1% 10.8% 10.0% 9.0% 4.8% 2.1% 0.6% 0.0%
Shannon Killian 5.0% 4.6% 5.5% 6.4% 7.1% 9.8% 9.5% 13.7% 12.6% 16.2% 6.8% 2.5% 0.3%
Shane Baker 0.5% 0.2% 0.4% 0.7% 0.2% 1.5% 1.3% 3.6% 2.8% 7.9% 24.0% 34.1% 22.8%
Kelsey Delosh 0.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 1.0% 1.0% 0.8% 2.3% 3.4% 12.3% 23.9% 54.2%
Holly McGarr 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 1.3% 1.1% 1.1% 1.9% 2.0% 4.5% 6.3% 26.3% 32.2% 21.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.