Race 9A

central-series-2

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Lizzy Hamilton 7.0% 7.0% 8.0% 8.8% 11.9% 10.4% 10.1% 13.5% 11.2% 8.0% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1%
Nick Sertl 20.7% 19.0% 16.3% 13.8% 9.5% 8.7% 5.2% 4.2% 1.5% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Scott Barbano 17.7% 17.7% 14.5% 13.3% 12.7% 9.0% 7.7% 3.9% 2.5% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Henry Stames 2.9% 4.5% 5.0% 5.0% 7.2% 7.6% 10.3% 10.2% 15.7% 19.3% 9.8% 2.1% 0.4%
Emilia Clementi 4.2% 4.3% 5.3% 7.5% 6.1% 8.1% 8.5% 13.1% 12.9% 18.2% 9.4% 2.3% 0.1%
Malcolm Lamphere 15.3% 13.7% 14.9% 13.6% 10.9% 11.3% 7.7% 6.0% 3.6% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Shannon Killian 5.7% 4.7% 6.0% 7.8% 7.2% 5.2% 9.9% 12.3% 16.5% 16.6% 6.3% 1.6% 0.2%
Henry Dumke 10.1% 10.8% 9.9% 10.3% 11.5% 13.0% 11.7% 9.3% 7.0% 4.6% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Sam Alexander 9.4% 9.1% 11.0% 9.0% 11.4% 12.5% 11.1% 9.7% 8.7% 6.1% 1.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Holly McGarr 0.3% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 1.4% 2.2% 1.8% 2.6% 3.7% 7.1% 26.8% 32.2% 19.5%
Camille Matile 5.8% 8.0% 7.7% 8.9% 8.8% 10.6% 13.8% 12.0% 12.0% 7.6% 3.8% 1.0% 0.0%
Kelsey Delosh 0.2% 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 1.3% 1.2% 1.6% 3.0% 13.6% 25.2% 52.1%
Shane Baker 0.7% 0.2% 0.2% 0.8% 0.9% 1.1% 0.9% 2.0% 3.1% 5.3% 23.1% 34.1% 27.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.