Race 10A

central-series-2

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Henry Dumke 9.8% 9.3% 12.0% 11.5% 10.2% 11.3% 12.0% 9.5% 7.6% 4.8% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
Emilia Clementi 3.7% 4.2% 5.8% 5.5% 7.1% 8.8% 9.1% 12.5% 15.0% 16.6% 8.5% 2.9% 0.3%
Nick Sertl 19.6% 18.9% 16.4% 13.2% 12.3% 8.6% 5.0% 3.7% 1.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Malcolm Lamphere 15.9% 13.1% 14.4% 13.3% 11.5% 10.6% 7.8% 7.4% 3.6% 1.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Sam Alexander 10.1% 10.5% 9.4% 12.4% 9.4% 12.8% 11.7% 9.3% 6.7% 5.8% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Camille Matile 6.0% 6.7% 8.4% 8.5% 10.4% 9.8% 12.2% 11.8% 11.1% 9.2% 5.2% 0.6% 0.1%
Scott Barbano 18.8% 17.4% 14.5% 13.5% 13.1% 8.0% 6.5% 4.7% 2.4% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lizzy Hamilton 6.2% 8.8% 8.2% 9.1% 8.4% 12.9% 12.0% 11.4% 11.9% 8.7% 2.2% 0.1% 0.1%
Shannon Killian 4.1% 5.7% 5.2% 5.9% 7.3% 7.8% 9.6% 13.0% 15.4% 15.1% 8.5% 2.3% 0.1%
Henry Stames 4.4% 4.2% 4.5% 5.4% 7.9% 6.8% 9.7% 11.4% 15.0% 17.4% 9.5% 3.2% 0.6%
Shane Baker 0.6% 0.4% 0.3% 0.4% 0.9% 0.7% 1.8% 2.6% 3.3% 7.3% 25.1% 33.9% 22.7%
Kelsey Delosh 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.4% 0.6% 0.7% 1.0% 2.3% 3.8% 12.1% 23.7% 54.2%
Holly McGarr 0.6% 0.5% 0.5% 1.0% 1.1% 1.3% 1.9% 1.7% 4.5% 7.6% 25.0% 32.5% 21.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.