Race 11A

central-series-2

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Scott Booth 6.9% 6.7% 8.2% 10.2% 9.8% 10.1% 10.0% 12.1% 11.2% 9.7% 4.3% 0.7% 0.1%
Lizzy Hamilton 5.8% 8.4% 7.7% 8.2% 10.6% 9.9% 12.0% 11.7% 12.3% 8.6% 3.8% 0.9% 0.1%
Henry Dumke 9.0% 9.4% 10.0% 12.4% 10.3% 10.7% 12.8% 10.5% 7.1% 6.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Franco Bilik 7.1% 8.7% 9.7% 10.6% 10.4% 11.5% 11.4% 9.5% 10.9% 7.1% 2.6% 0.4% 0.1%
Emilia Clementi 5.3% 4.0% 4.8% 6.3% 7.5% 7.5% 8.2% 12.9% 13.2% 17.8% 9.1% 3.0% 0.4%
Malcolm Lamphere 15.0% 13.3% 15.4% 13.4% 9.8% 11.1% 7.1% 7.6% 4.1% 2.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Nick Sertl 21.4% 18.5% 16.1% 11.8% 11.3% 7.6% 6.5% 3.9% 2.3% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Scott Barbano 17.8% 18.1% 14.2% 13.1% 12.5% 10.9% 6.3% 3.1% 2.1% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Camille Matile 7.0% 6.3% 7.7% 6.3% 8.1% 10.7% 10.9% 12.2% 12.5% 12.5% 4.5% 1.1% 0.2%
Kelsey Delosh 0.2% 0.1% 0.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.4% 0.9% 1.5% 2.4% 3.4% 11.7% 25.7% 51.9%
Holly McGarr 0.5% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.6% 1.0% 2.8% 3.2% 3.8% 6.7% 30.9% 31.0% 17.9%
Shannon Killian 3.6% 5.4% 4.9% 5.8% 7.6% 7.5% 9.8% 10.4% 15.4% 17.5% 9.9% 1.8% 0.4%
Shane Baker 0.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.5% 1.1% 1.1% 1.3% 1.4% 2.7% 5.4% 21.3% 35.1% 28.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.