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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32+2.70vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.53+1.33vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.10+1.23vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.59+3.39vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.20+1.05vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College3.00-2.67vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.81-3.25vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.21-2.95vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.00-3.49vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire0.76-2.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.2%1st Place
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3.33Brown University3.530.2%1st Place
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4.23Yale University3.100.1%1st Place
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7.39University of Vermont1.590.0%1st Place
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6.05Bowdoin College2.200.1%1st Place
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4.33Eckerd College3.000.1%1st Place
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4.75Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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6.05Boston University2.210.1%1st Place
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6.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.000.0%1st Place
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8.67University of New Hampshire0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Proctor | 19.7% | 18.1% | 14.3% | 13.7% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Jennifer Adler | 22.4% | 18.8% | 18.3% | 13.6% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Genoa Warner | 14.4% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 13.6% | 16.5% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Sara Anibal | 2.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 16.6% | 24.4% | 19.0% |
| Emily McNeil | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 16.0% | 13.9% | 6.2% |
| Charlotte Dorris | 14.6% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 15.0% | 13.5% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Morgan Russom | 8.9% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 13.9% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 1.4% |
| Erica Lush | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 15.6% | 15.6% | 12.8% | 6.5% |
| Jillian Reddy | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 15.8% | 18.2% | 9.6% |
| Paige Fagan | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 9.3% | 16.2% | 55.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.