Race 13A

central-series-2

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Franco Bilik 7.5% 8.6% 9.7% 10.0% 9.5% 11.1% 11.8% 11.9% 9.7% 7.0% 2.5% 0.5% 0.2%
Scott Barbano 17.5% 16.2% 16.4% 12.8% 11.4% 9.2% 7.9% 4.4% 2.8% 0.9% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Henry Dumke 7.9% 10.5% 12.1% 9.9% 10.8% 12.6% 11.1% 10.1% 8.3% 5.0% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Scott Booth 7.3% 6.5% 5.9% 10.8% 10.5% 10.4% 11.6% 11.3% 11.1% 9.9% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1%
Nick Sertl 21.9% 18.2% 14.8% 14.2% 9.9% 8.7% 5.7% 4.0% 2.0% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Lizzy Hamilton 6.6% 7.9% 8.7% 9.0% 9.1% 11.5% 10.0% 11.5% 11.5% 9.7% 4.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Malcolm Lamphere 15.5% 13.9% 13.6% 12.0% 12.8% 9.8% 8.6% 6.6% 4.5% 1.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Emilia Clementi 3.9% 5.3% 5.0% 5.9% 6.6% 7.5% 9.3% 11.1% 14.5% 19.8% 9.1% 1.7% 0.3%
Shannon Killian 4.0% 5.6% 5.2% 5.8% 7.0% 6.2% 10.9% 11.8% 15.8% 16.0% 8.8% 2.6% 0.3%
Camille Matile 6.7% 6.4% 7.4% 7.9% 9.5% 10.6% 9.6% 11.7% 11.7% 12.5% 4.1% 1.7% 0.2%
Kelsey Delosh 0.4% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 1.0% 2.2% 3.4% 15.6% 27.2% 48.2%
Holly McGarr 0.2% 0.8% 0.5% 0.6% 1.4% 1.4% 1.6% 2.1% 4.1% 7.6% 25.3% 33.4% 21.0%
Shane Baker 0.6% 0.0% 0.5% 0.8% 1.0% 0.5% 1.5% 2.5% 1.8% 6.0% 23.7% 31.4% 29.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.