Race 14A

central-series-2

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Nick Sertl 19.4% 19.1% 14.8% 14.5% 11.1% 8.2% 5.9% 3.3% 2.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Scott Booth 6.5% 6.8% 8.7% 7.5% 11.4% 10.9% 10.9% 11.3% 11.1% 10.2% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1%
Henry Dumke 8.0% 10.4% 10.4% 13.1% 9.9% 12.0% 11.1% 9.7% 8.2% 5.4% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Scott Barbano 18.3% 16.1% 16.2% 12.7% 11.9% 8.9% 6.7% 5.5% 2.3% 0.9% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Franco Bilik 8.9% 9.2% 9.4% 10.3% 8.3% 11.4% 11.9% 10.5% 10.2% 7.0% 2.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Shannon Killian 4.2% 5.0% 6.1% 5.6% 8.9% 7.4% 8.8% 13.3% 13.7% 16.7% 8.7% 1.6% 0.0%
Malcolm Lamphere 15.6% 14.2% 12.9% 12.9% 12.7% 9.5% 8.2% 6.3% 5.1% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Lizzy Hamilton 6.5% 7.8% 8.6% 7.9% 9.0% 11.3% 12.2% 11.4% 12.3% 9.9% 2.8% 0.2% 0.1%
Camille Matile 5.9% 6.5% 7.6% 7.2% 7.8% 10.0% 11.8% 12.8% 11.3% 12.0% 5.6% 1.4% 0.1%
Emilia Clementi 5.1% 4.1% 4.0% 6.3% 6.8% 8.0% 9.0% 11.2% 13.8% 18.5% 9.6% 2.7% 0.9%
Kelsey Delosh 0.5% 0.0% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.8% 1.9% 4.8% 14.7% 27.9% 47.8%
Shane Baker 0.5% 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 1.0% 1.2% 1.0% 1.8% 3.5% 5.5% 21.4% 33.9% 28.7%
Holly McGarr 0.6% 0.5% 0.5% 1.1% 0.9% 0.7% 2.2% 2.1% 4.0% 6.4% 27.8% 30.9% 22.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.