Race 15A

central-series-2

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Scott Booth 7.0% 6.2% 8.2% 9.8% 9.4% 9.4% 10.2% 13.1% 12.0% 10.6% 3.2% 0.9% 0.0%
Scott Barbano 16.0% 18.2% 16.1% 11.7% 12.3% 9.6% 6.7% 4.9% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Shannon Killian 3.0% 4.7% 5.4% 6.2% 8.7% 7.9% 10.1% 10.1% 16.1% 17.2% 8.5% 1.8% 0.3%
Nick Sertl 20.8% 17.3% 16.1% 13.8% 9.9% 9.1% 7.1% 3.0% 1.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Lizzy Hamilton 7.4% 8.0% 8.5% 8.1% 9.8% 8.8% 11.3% 13.0% 9.7% 10.6% 4.1% 0.6% 0.1%
Emilia Clementi 3.6% 4.7% 5.2% 5.2% 6.9% 8.3% 9.3% 10.4% 15.3% 18.8% 9.1% 2.8% 0.4%
Malcolm Lamphere 16.2% 14.2% 11.9% 13.0% 10.8% 10.8% 8.8% 7.2% 4.4% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Camille Matile 5.5% 6.2% 7.2% 9.2% 8.0% 11.2% 9.8% 12.3% 14.7% 10.5% 4.5% 0.9% 0.0%
Kelsey Delosh 0.2% 0.1% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 1.2% 0.9% 1.2% 1.5% 3.9% 12.3% 27.5% 49.6%
Franco Bilik 9.3% 8.0% 8.9% 10.6% 10.9% 8.6% 12.3% 10.6% 9.4% 7.3% 3.5% 0.5% 0.1%
Henry Dumke 10.3% 11.0% 11.0% 10.6% 10.6% 13.3% 10.3% 10.2% 6.4% 4.6% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Shane Baker 0.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.5% 1.0% 0.8% 1.8% 1.7% 2.9% 5.8% 23.6% 31.7% 29.0%
Holly McGarr 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 0.7% 1.4% 1.0% 1.4% 2.3% 3.0% 6.7% 28.4% 32.9% 20.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.