Race 1B

central-series-2

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Casey Gowrie 16.5% 16.9% 14.8% 13.0% 9.5% 11.6% 7.2% 4.6% 2.4% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Marcos Darcy 11.8% 11.1% 12.0% 13.7% 12.6% 9.1% 8.8% 6.8% 6.7% 4.2% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1%
Adam Brodheim 3.2% 3.1% 2.6% 5.1% 5.6% 7.3% 8.0% 7.9% 11.4% 12.5% 13.9% 11.9% 7.5%
Charlotte List 10.1% 10.1% 9.2% 11.5% 11.0% 11.3% 10.0% 8.7% 7.2% 5.3% 4.0% 1.1% 0.5%
Christopher Champa 9.0% 8.9% 11.0% 9.6% 10.0% 10.1% 10.7% 10.0% 8.0% 6.1% 4.0% 2.2% 0.4%
Jennifer Lee 2.7% 2.5% 3.8% 2.8% 5.4% 5.1% 5.4% 7.8% 9.4% 13.2% 14.1% 16.6% 11.2%
Janel DeCurtis 6.7% 5.8% 6.2% 6.9% 7.9% 7.4% 9.3% 9.7% 11.9% 10.2% 8.3% 7.8% 1.9%
Kelsey Martins 0.9% 1.0% 1.0% 2.0% 1.1% 1.8% 2.5% 2.7% 3.4% 4.9% 8.7% 14.6% 55.4%
Gabriel Verrier-Paquette 3.1% 4.2% 4.0% 5.2% 5.1% 6.3% 7.8% 9.1% 9.6% 12.5% 12.8% 13.0% 7.3%
Matthew Miranda 3.4% 2.4% 3.6% 2.7% 3.7% 5.2% 6.0% 9.5% 9.3% 12.0% 12.6% 18.5% 11.1%
Lindsey Baab 20.9% 19.2% 16.2% 11.9% 11.8% 7.4% 5.1% 3.5% 2.2% 1.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Chester Jacobs 8.7% 10.1% 10.9% 10.7% 10.8% 10.8% 10.5% 9.0% 7.9% 4.5% 4.1% 1.4% 0.6%
Myles Everett 3.0% 4.7% 4.7% 4.9% 5.5% 6.6% 8.7% 10.7% 10.6% 11.3% 13.5% 11.8% 4.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.