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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.49+4.47vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.34+3.91vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.04+1.11vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.69+0.91vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.20-1.28vs Predicted
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6University of Connecticut1.13+3.08vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.15+1.92vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.57-0.05vs Predicted
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9Harvard University1.41-0.53vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.52-4.61vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.86-3.98vs Predicted
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12McGill University1.45-3.53vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01-2.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.47Connecticut College2.490.1%1st Place
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5.91Yale University2.340.1%1st Place
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4.11Tufts University3.040.2%1st Place
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4.91Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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3.72Brown University3.200.2%1st Place
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9.08University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
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8.92Salve Regina University1.150.0%1st Place
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7.95Northeastern University1.570.0%1st Place
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8.47Harvard University1.410.0%1st Place
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5.39Bowdoin College2.520.1%1st Place
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7.02Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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8.47McGill University1.450.0%1st Place
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11.59University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte List | 10.2% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Champa | 7.5% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Casey Gowrie | 16.6% | 16.6% | 14.5% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Marcos Darcy | 13.1% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Lindsey Baab | 21.7% | 18.5% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Lee | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 12.3% | 15.2% | 17.6% | 11.1% |
| Matthew Miranda | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 14.2% | 16.9% | 10.8% |
| Myles Everett | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 9.8% | 3.4% |
| Adam Brodheim | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 6.7% |
| Chester Jacobs | 10.5% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 4.3% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 2.6% |
| Gabriel Verrier-Paquette | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 14.2% | 14.0% | 6.6% |
| Kelsey Martins | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 9.0% | 14.9% | 56.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.