Race 3B

central-series-2

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Marcos Darcy 12.0% 11.8% 14.1% 11.3% 10.2% 10.1% 10.2% 8.0% 5.7% 3.5% 2.0% 0.9% 0.2%
Chester Jacobs 10.3% 9.1% 11.4% 10.4% 12.9% 11.0% 10.4% 7.9% 7.0% 4.3% 3.6% 1.2% 0.5%
Charlotte List 9.1% 10.9% 10.1% 10.6% 9.5% 10.8% 11.4% 9.9% 7.3% 5.9% 2.9% 1.4% 0.2%
Christopher Champa 7.8% 8.9% 8.8% 10.9% 11.4% 9.3% 9.2% 10.3% 9.4% 7.3% 3.7% 2.4% 0.6%
Lindsey Baab 21.8% 17.4% 15.9% 13.3% 10.7% 7.1% 6.6% 2.8% 2.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Janel DeCurtis 5.7% 5.4% 6.9% 6.7% 7.8% 9.0% 10.4% 9.7% 10.3% 10.6% 8.4% 6.5% 2.6%
Gabriel Verrier-Paquette 4.4% 4.3% 3.9% 5.7% 4.9% 6.7% 5.9% 10.1% 10.5% 11.6% 13.5% 12.4% 6.1%
Myles Everett 3.7% 5.8% 4.5% 5.7% 5.3% 6.6% 8.7% 9.5% 11.9% 11.9% 12.8% 8.9% 4.7%
Casey Gowrie 17.4% 16.1% 14.1% 12.8% 12.2% 8.7% 6.4% 5.6% 3.3% 2.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
Matthew Miranda 2.5% 3.8% 2.8% 3.6% 3.8% 5.9% 5.8% 7.7% 10.2% 10.8% 14.8% 15.7% 12.6%
Kelsey Martins 0.8% 0.7% 0.5% 1.0% 1.4% 3.0% 2.0% 2.7% 4.0% 5.7% 10.3% 15.4% 52.5%
Jennifer Lee 2.1% 3.0% 2.7% 3.1% 4.8% 4.9% 5.4% 6.9% 8.5% 12.3% 13.4% 19.5% 13.4%
Adam Brodheim 2.4% 2.8% 4.3% 4.9% 5.1% 6.9% 7.6% 8.9% 9.4% 12.3% 13.6% 15.3% 6.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.