Race 4B

central-series-2

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Casey Gowrie 16.9% 16.3% 14.4% 13.3% 11.8% 9.2% 7.3% 4.3% 3.4% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Janel DeCurtis 5.0% 5.6% 5.4% 8.4% 6.8% 9.0% 10.3% 11.4% 9.1% 10.9% 9.0% 6.6% 2.5%
Christopher Champa 7.1% 8.6% 10.6% 9.0% 9.7% 10.8% 11.4% 10.1% 8.5% 7.6% 4.6% 1.7% 0.3%
Jennifer Lee 2.1% 2.8% 2.7% 4.4% 4.5% 5.1% 4.9% 7.7% 9.8% 11.3% 15.8% 16.9% 12.0%
Charlotte List 10.7% 11.6% 11.1% 10.1% 10.2% 9.4% 10.3% 9.3% 6.8% 5.0% 3.9% 1.4% 0.2%
Gabriel Verrier-Paquette 3.4% 3.5% 5.2% 3.8% 4.9% 7.6% 8.1% 8.6% 11.4% 13.3% 11.8% 13.3% 5.1%
Marcos Darcy 12.5% 13.1% 11.7% 11.0% 11.5% 11.0% 8.0% 8.6% 7.1% 2.7% 2.0% 0.7% 0.1%
Lindsey Baab 20.6% 18.2% 15.2% 11.4% 12.8% 9.3% 5.8% 3.0% 2.0% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Myles Everett 4.6% 4.3% 4.8% 5.2% 4.6% 7.2% 7.9% 10.0% 10.6% 14.0% 9.8% 11.7% 5.3%
Chester Jacobs 11.1% 10.0% 10.7% 12.2% 10.7% 9.2% 8.9% 9.8% 6.6% 5.5% 3.3% 2.0% 0.0%
Adam Brodheim 3.2% 2.5% 4.5% 6.7% 6.7% 5.3% 8.2% 8.9% 11.6% 12.0% 13.2% 11.8% 5.4%
Matthew Miranda 2.0% 2.6% 3.4% 3.3% 4.2% 5.5% 7.1% 5.8% 9.6% 8.8% 16.6% 19.4% 11.7%
Kelsey Martins 0.8% 0.9% 0.3% 1.2% 1.6% 1.4% 1.8% 2.5% 3.5% 5.6% 8.8% 14.2% 57.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.