Race 5B

central-series-2

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Chester Jacobs 10.0% 10.7% 11.5% 10.8% 10.6% 9.5% 10.1% 9.8% 7.2% 5.1% 3.1% 1.3% 0.3%
Marcos Darcy 10.5% 13.3% 12.3% 11.3% 12.1% 10.7% 9.1% 6.9% 6.1% 3.8% 2.4% 1.4% 0.1%
Casey Gowrie 17.0% 16.3% 14.0% 13.7% 10.9% 9.7% 7.0% 5.8% 3.0% 1.2% 1.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Charlotte List 10.3% 9.0% 10.1% 12.1% 10.8% 10.7% 10.1% 8.0% 7.3% 6.3% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3%
Lindsey Baab 21.8% 17.5% 15.7% 11.7% 10.9% 8.6% 6.5% 3.1% 1.9% 2.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Janel DeCurtis 5.6% 5.4% 6.8% 6.8% 7.4% 8.3% 10.3% 9.9% 12.0% 10.3% 8.8% 6.4% 2.0%
Matthew Miranda 3.3% 3.1% 3.2% 3.7% 5.3% 4.9% 5.9% 6.3% 9.2% 12.9% 12.6% 19.9% 9.7%
Jennifer Lee 1.9% 3.6% 3.3% 3.8% 3.7% 4.2% 6.4% 8.2% 8.1% 13.6% 14.7% 18.3% 10.2%
Christopher Champa 9.7% 7.0% 10.0% 9.5% 9.6% 11.1% 9.8% 9.0% 9.0% 6.3% 5.5% 2.8% 0.7%
Gabriel Verrier-Paquette 3.7% 5.0% 3.5% 4.2% 5.2% 7.1% 8.7% 9.3% 9.0% 10.9% 13.8% 11.9% 7.7%
Adam Brodheim 3.0% 3.6% 4.8% 5.8% 4.8% 7.0% 6.9% 11.1% 11.2% 11.5% 12.7% 11.9% 5.7%
Kelsey Martins 0.4% 1.1% 0.4% 1.3% 2.3% 1.7% 1.8% 2.6% 4.3% 5.6% 6.7% 13.8% 58.0%
Myles Everett 2.8% 4.4% 4.4% 5.3% 6.4% 6.5% 7.4% 10.0% 11.7% 10.5% 14.7% 10.6% 5.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.