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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.52+4.42vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.20+1.71vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.86+4.29vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.49+1.47vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.69-0.13vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut1.13+2.06vs Predicted
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8McGill University1.45+0.17vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.34-3.17vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.15-0.88vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.57-3.05vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.04-8.03vs Predicted
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13Harvard University1.41-4.46vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01-2.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.42Bowdoin College2.520.1%1st Place
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3.71Brown University3.200.2%1st Place
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7.29Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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5.47Connecticut College2.490.1%1st Place
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4.87Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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9.06University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
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8.17McGill University1.450.0%1st Place
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5.83Yale University2.340.1%1st Place
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9.12Salve Regina University1.150.0%1st Place
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7.95Northeastern University1.570.0%1st Place
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3.97Tufts University3.040.2%1st Place
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8.54Harvard University1.410.0%1st Place
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11.59University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chester Jacobs | 10.1% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Lindsey Baab | 19.7% | 17.1% | 18.5% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 13.8% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 2.8% |
| Charlotte List | 9.4% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Marcos Darcy | 12.8% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Lee | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 18.5% | 10.3% |
| Gabriel Verrier-Paquette | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 5.7% |
| Christopher Champa | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Miranda | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 15.6% | 17.8% | 11.3% |
| Myles Everett | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 5.3% |
| Casey Gowrie | 17.8% | 17.9% | 13.9% | 13.6% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Adam Brodheim | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 14.0% | 7.2% |
| Kelsey Martins | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 14.8% | 56.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.