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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.53+2.28vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.10+2.19vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32+0.77vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College3.00+0.35vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.81-1.27vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.20-0.96vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire0.76+0.77vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.00-2.52vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.21-3.97vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.59-3.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.28Brown University3.530.2%1st Place
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4.19Yale University3.100.1%1st Place
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3.77U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.2%1st Place
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4.35Eckerd College3.000.1%1st Place
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4.73Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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6.04Bowdoin College2.200.1%1st Place
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8.77University of New Hampshire0.760.0%1st Place
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6.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.000.0%1st Place
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6.03Boston University2.210.1%1st Place
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7.35University of Vermont1.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Adler | 23.8% | 20.9% | 16.7% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Genoa Warner | 13.6% | 14.9% | 15.8% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 0.3% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 18.2% | 15.8% | 15.9% | 13.1% | 14.4% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Charlotte Dorris | 12.6% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 16.3% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 0.8% |
| Morgan Russom | 11.6% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 1.3% |
| Emily McNeil | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 14.4% | 16.1% | 13.1% | 6.4% |
| Paige Fagan | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 18.0% | 55.6% |
| Jillian Reddy | 4.3% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 14.5% | 17.5% | 17.2% | 8.3% |
| Erica Lush | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 16.2% | 14.2% | 5.8% |
| Sara Anibal | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 11.5% | 15.6% | 23.1% | 20.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.