Race 7B

central-series-2

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Marcos Darcy 12.2% 11.5% 12.3% 12.1% 12.4% 9.6% 9.9% 6.7% 6.4% 3.6% 2.2% 1.0% 0.1%
Gabriel Verrier-Paquette 3.5% 3.5% 3.6% 6.2% 5.0% 6.3% 7.6% 9.3% 11.6% 12.0% 11.6% 13.2% 6.6%
Christopher Champa 7.7% 8.9% 9.8% 9.7% 9.8% 12.2% 8.5% 11.6% 8.6% 5.8% 4.9% 1.9% 0.6%
Charlotte List 9.4% 10.6% 11.4% 8.9% 12.6% 10.5% 9.1% 8.8% 8.1% 5.1% 3.9% 1.1% 0.5%
Janel DeCurtis 5.6% 5.8% 7.1% 8.8% 6.4% 7.6% 10.0% 10.6% 10.8% 11.0% 7.1% 7.3% 1.9%
Jennifer Lee 2.1% 3.0% 3.3% 3.8% 4.3% 4.0% 7.6% 7.1% 8.8% 12.1% 15.2% 17.9% 10.8%
Chester Jacobs 11.5% 9.8% 11.0% 11.9% 9.6% 10.5% 10.2% 9.0% 7.5% 4.6% 2.3% 1.8% 0.3%
Casey Gowrie 16.8% 18.8% 13.0% 11.3% 12.8% 10.9% 7.6% 3.8% 2.5% 1.3% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Adam Brodheim 3.1% 4.4% 4.2% 3.9% 5.8% 5.1% 7.7% 8.0% 11.1% 12.0% 13.2% 13.6% 7.9%
Lindsey Baab 22.2% 17.2% 16.4% 11.4% 9.5% 8.5% 5.4% 3.8% 3.3% 1.8% 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Kelsey Martins 0.6% 0.7% 0.5% 1.4% 1.5% 2.3% 1.9% 4.6% 3.6% 5.4% 8.8% 15.3% 53.4%
Matthew Miranda 2.2% 2.4% 3.1% 3.9% 3.9% 5.9% 6.5% 6.6% 8.4% 11.6% 15.8% 16.5% 13.2%
Myles Everett 3.1% 3.4% 4.3% 6.7% 6.4% 6.6% 8.0% 10.1% 9.3% 13.7% 14.0% 9.7% 4.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.