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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.49+4.46vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.69+2.97vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.52+2.39vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.04+0.09vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.34+0.81vs Predicted
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6Harvard University1.41+2.34vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.86+0.05vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.57-0.08vs Predicted
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9McGill University1.45-0.63vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.20-6.22vs Predicted
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11University of Connecticut1.13-2.02vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.15-2.76vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01-2.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.46Connecticut College2.490.1%1st Place
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4.97Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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5.39Bowdoin College2.520.1%1st Place
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4.09Tufts University3.040.2%1st Place
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5.81Yale University2.340.1%1st Place
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8.34Harvard University1.410.0%1st Place
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7.05Roger Williams University1.860.1%1st Place
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7.92Northeastern University1.570.0%1st Place
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8.37McGill University1.450.0%1st Place
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3.78Brown University3.200.2%1st Place
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8.98University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
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9.24Salve Regina University1.150.0%1st Place
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11.61University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte List | 10.6% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Marcos Darcy | 11.7% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Chester Jacobs | 8.6% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Casey Gowrie | 16.9% | 16.3% | 15.2% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Champa | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Adam Brodheim | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 12.6% | 5.7% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 1.8% |
| Myles Everett | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 3.3% |
| Gabriel Verrier-Paquette | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 7.0% |
| Lindsey Baab | 21.8% | 16.0% | 16.9% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Lee | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 16.2% | 10.7% |
| Matthew Miranda | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 15.0% | 19.8% | 11.9% |
| Kelsey Martins | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 14.0% | 57.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.