← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Connecticut College2.49+4.43vs Predicted
-
2Brown University3.20+1.66vs Predicted
-
3University of Connecticut1.13+6.26vs Predicted
-
4Yale University2.34+1.87vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University1.86+2.06vs Predicted
-
6Salve Regina University1.15+3.04vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University3.04-3.00vs Predicted
-
8McGill University1.45+0.26vs Predicted
-
9Boston College2.69-3.99vs Predicted
-
10Bowdoin College2.52-4.71vs Predicted
-
11University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01+0.41vs Predicted
-
12Harvard University1.41-3.42vs Predicted
-
13Northeastern University1.57-4.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.43Connecticut College2.490.1%1st Place
-
3.66Brown University3.200.2%1st Place
-
9.26University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
-
5.87Yale University2.340.1%1st Place
-
7.06Roger Williams University1.860.1%1st Place
-
9.04Salve Regina University1.150.0%1st Place
-
4.0Tufts University3.040.2%1st Place
-
8.26McGill University1.450.0%1st Place
-
5.01Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
-
5.29Bowdoin College2.520.1%1st Place
-
11.41University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
-
8.58Harvard University1.410.0%1st Place
-
8.14Northeastern University1.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte List | 9.8% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Lindsey Baab | 20.3% | 18.6% | 15.6% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Lee | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 17.4% | 12.6% |
| Christopher Champa | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 2.9% |
| Matthew Miranda | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 19.3% | 10.6% |
| Casey Gowrie | 18.5% | 17.4% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Verrier-Paquette | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 14.7% | 10.7% | 5.9% |
| Marcos Darcy | 11.3% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Chester Jacobs | 12.1% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Kelsey Martins | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 15.6% | 53.0% |
| Adam Brodheim | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 8.4% |
| Myles Everett | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 11.0% | 4.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.