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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.86+6.19vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.52+3.40vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.04+1.08vs Predicted
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4University of Connecticut1.13+5.19vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.49+0.44vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.20-2.32vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.69-2.10vs Predicted
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8McGill University1.45+0.22vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.57-0.98vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.34-4.17vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.15-2.08vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01-0.48vs Predicted
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13Harvard University1.41-4.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.19Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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5.4Bowdoin College2.520.1%1st Place
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4.08Tufts University3.040.2%1st Place
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9.19University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
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5.44Connecticut College2.490.1%1st Place
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3.68Brown University3.200.2%1st Place
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4.9Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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8.22McGill University1.450.0%1st Place
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8.02Northeastern University1.570.0%1st Place
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5.83Yale University2.340.1%1st Place
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8.92Salve Regina University1.150.0%1st Place
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11.52University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
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8.61Harvard University1.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Janel DeCurtis | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 2.1% |
| Chester Jacobs | 9.9% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Casey Gowrie | 17.2% | 14.7% | 15.3% | 14.0% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Lee | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 19.4% | 11.3% |
| Charlotte List | 10.6% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Lindsey Baab | 20.4% | 19.7% | 15.5% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marcos Darcy | 12.2% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Gabriel Verrier-Paquette | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 13.9% | 11.4% | 5.8% |
| Myles Everett | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 4.7% |
| Christopher Champa | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Matthew Miranda | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 17.0% | 9.1% |
| Kelsey Martins | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 13.6% | 57.7% |
| Adam Brodheim | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 7.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.