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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.69+4.09vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.61+3.28vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.49+2.61vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.90+0.50vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.04-0.88vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.52-0.58vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.57+0.98vs Predicted
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8McGill University1.45+0.43vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.34-3.94vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.15-1.83vs Predicted
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12Harvard University1.41-3.68vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut1.13-3.60vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01-2.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.09Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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5.28Roger Williams University2.610.1%1st Place
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5.61Connecticut College2.490.1%1st Place
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4.5Brown University2.900.1%1st Place
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4.12Tufts University3.040.2%1st Place
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5.42Bowdoin College2.520.1%1st Place
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7.98Northeastern University1.570.1%1st Place
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8.43McGill University1.450.0%1st Place
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6.06Yale University2.340.1%1st Place
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9.17Salve Regina University1.150.0%1st Place
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8.32Harvard University1.410.0%1st Place
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9.4University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
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11.63University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcos Darcy | 12.1% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Jonathan Pope | 11.1% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Charlotte List | 8.6% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Kevin Eve | 14.6% | 14.6% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Casey Gowrie | 17.8% | 16.5% | 14.3% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Chester Jacobs | 10.2% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Myles Everett | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 3.9% |
| Gabriel Verrier-Paquette | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 15.4% | 13.9% | 5.1% |
| Christopher Champa | 8.7% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Matthew Miranda | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 14.8% | 18.7% | 11.7% |
| Adam Brodheim | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 6.0% |
| Jennifer Lee | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 20.1% | 14.0% |
| Kelsey Martins | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 16.2% | 56.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.