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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.04+3.22vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.34+4.04vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.61+2.29vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.90+0.51vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.57+2.94vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.52-0.54vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.69-1.98vs Predicted
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8Harvard University1.41+0.50vs Predicted
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9McGill University1.45-0.50vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.15-1.85vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.50-6.62vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut1.13-3.62vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01-2.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.22Tufts University3.040.2%1st Place
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6.04Yale University2.340.1%1st Place
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5.29Roger Williams University2.610.1%1st Place
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4.51Brown University2.900.2%1st Place
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7.94Northeastern University1.570.1%1st Place
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5.46Bowdoin College2.520.1%1st Place
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5.02Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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8.5Harvard University1.410.0%1st Place
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8.5McGill University1.450.0%1st Place
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9.15Salve Regina University1.150.0%1st Place
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5.38Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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9.38University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
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11.63University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Gowrie | 16.3% | 15.4% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Champa | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Jonathan Pope | 10.1% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Kevin Eve | 15.2% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 14.5% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Myles Everett | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 4.4% |
| Chester Jacobs | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Marcos Darcy | 13.2% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Adam Brodheim | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 15.0% | 15.0% | 5.4% |
| Gabriel Verrier-Paquette | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 6.0% |
| Matthew Miranda | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 15.6% | 16.5% | 12.3% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 9.6% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Jennifer Lee | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 15.6% | 17.2% | 13.9% |
| Kelsey Martins | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 17.8% | 56.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.