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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.04+3.17vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.90+2.49vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.15+6.31vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.69+1.09vs Predicted
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5McGill University1.45+3.29vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.52-0.58vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.61-1.80vs Predicted
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8Harvard University1.41+0.52vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.50-4.36vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.57-2.95vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.34-6.17vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut1.13-4.61vs Predicted
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15University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01-3.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.17Tufts University3.040.2%1st Place
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4.49Brown University2.900.1%1st Place
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9.31Salve Regina University1.150.0%1st Place
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5.09Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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8.29McGill University1.450.0%1st Place
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5.42Bowdoin College2.520.1%1st Place
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5.2Roger Williams University2.610.1%1st Place
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8.52Harvard University1.410.0%1st Place
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5.64Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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8.05Northeastern University1.570.0%1st Place
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5.83Yale University2.340.1%1st Place
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9.39University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
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11.6University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Gowrie | 15.9% | 16.2% | 15.4% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Kevin Eve | 14.3% | 14.2% | 12.6% | 14.9% | 11.5% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Miranda | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 15.7% | 19.5% | 10.7% |
| Marcos Darcy | 12.1% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Gabriel Verrier-Paquette | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 14.1% | 14.9% | 11.5% | 6.1% |
| Chester Jacobs | 10.3% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Jonathan Pope | 12.3% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Brodheim | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 16.8% | 5.2% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 9.8% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Myles Everett | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 10.3% | 5.3% |
| Christopher Champa | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Jennifer Lee | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 15.5% | 18.3% | 14.2% |
| Kelsey Martins | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 16.2% | 56.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.