Race 15B

central-series-2

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Casey Gowrie 17.2% 14.8% 14.4% 12.3% 13.0% 8.6% 7.2% 5.3% 3.8% 1.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Kevin Eve 15.8% 12.9% 13.2% 12.0% 12.5% 10.1% 7.3% 7.1% 4.1% 2.5% 1.5% 0.9% 0.1%
Marcos Darcy 10.4% 12.9% 12.7% 10.2% 9.1% 11.9% 10.9% 7.3% 6.9% 5.4% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
Jonathan Pope 10.5% 11.3% 10.7% 12.0% 10.9% 8.0% 10.9% 8.7% 7.1% 6.2% 2.9% 0.4% 0.4%
Charlotte List 10.9% 10.2% 10.6% 11.1% 9.6% 8.7% 10.4% 8.9% 8.0% 6.2% 3.7% 1.5% 0.2%
Christopher Champa 8.3% 10.0% 8.5% 9.5% 8.7% 12.1% 9.4% 9.1% 7.9% 7.5% 5.8% 2.6% 0.6%
Myles Everett 4.9% 4.2% 5.1% 6.6% 5.1% 5.7% 6.9% 9.3% 11.9% 11.4% 14.3% 10.1% 4.5%
Chester Jacobs 9.9% 11.2% 9.2% 10.4% 10.2% 12.0% 10.2% 9.4% 6.9% 6.1% 2.7% 1.7% 0.1%
Gabriel Verrier-Paquette 3.5% 3.5% 3.7% 5.0% 5.0% 5.6% 6.7% 9.5% 10.3% 12.4% 13.7% 14.8% 6.3%
Adam Brodheim 3.8% 3.6% 4.1% 3.5% 4.6% 6.6% 6.9% 9.8% 10.7% 11.5% 13.7% 13.5% 7.7%
Matthew Miranda 2.3% 1.9% 3.7% 3.5% 5.6% 5.5% 5.7% 7.5% 9.8% 12.3% 15.4% 17.2% 9.6%
Jennifer Lee 1.7% 2.9% 3.0% 3.1% 4.5% 4.0% 5.8% 6.3% 8.3% 12.6% 14.2% 20.8% 12.8%
Kelsey Martins 0.8% 0.6% 1.1% 0.8% 1.2% 1.2% 1.7% 1.8% 4.3% 4.1% 9.4% 15.6% 57.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.