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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College-0.39+6.58vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.56+0.98vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.63+1.83vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.16+0.80vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.10+2.63vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania-0.44+1.75vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College-0.52+0.74vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-2.62vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges-0.24-1.73vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.92-5.75vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania-0.50-3.30vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.59-1.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.58SUNY Maritime College-0.393.6%1st Place
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2.98Cornell University1.5628.1%1st Place
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4.83Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.6312.5%1st Place
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4.8University of Pennsylvania1.1611.3%1st Place
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7.63U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.104.5%1st Place
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7.75University of Pennsylvania-0.443.2%1st Place
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7.74SUNY Maritime College-0.523.4%1st Place
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5.38U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.299.3%1st Place
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7.27Hobart and William Smith Colleges-0.243.6%1st Place
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4.25Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.9215.2%1st Place
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7.7University of Pennsylvania-0.504.2%1st Place
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10.1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.591.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikita Troast | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 11.9% | 7.7% |
| Sophia Mulvania | 28.1% | 22.8% | 16.2% | 12.3% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sabrina Starck | 12.5% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Adra Ivancich | 11.3% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Katherine Mason | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 14.5% | 8.5% |
| Sadie Yoder | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 9.4% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 13.3% | 8.7% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 9.3% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Keelyn Brink | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 6.9% |
| Deana Fedulova | 15.2% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Esme Gonzalez | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 14.9% | 8.3% |
| Gentry Schneider | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 14.1% | 49.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.