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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.61+3.46vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.68+5.71vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.79+4.43vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.67+3.84vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80+2.31vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+2.34vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida2.80+4.15vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.50+0.36vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.50-0.31vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.92-3.16vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.93-0.17vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College3.83-4.72vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.50-4.32vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University3.54-5.50vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University2.55-2.97vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan2.35-3.21vs Predicted
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17Cornell University1.60-2.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.46College of Charleston4.610.2%1st Place
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7.71Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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7.43Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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7.84Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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7.31St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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8.34Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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11.15University of South Florida2.800.0%1st Place
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8.36U. S. Naval Academy3.500.1%1st Place
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8.69Yale University3.500.0%1st Place
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6.84University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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10.83University of Vermont2.930.0%1st Place
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7.28Eckerd College3.830.1%1st Place
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8.68Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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8.5Old Dominion University3.540.0%1st Place
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12.03Georgetown University2.550.0%1st Place
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12.79University of Michigan2.350.0%1st Place
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14.77Cornell University1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allison Blecher | 20.0% | 14.3% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maggie Shea | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Emily Lambert | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Megan Magill | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Caroline Patten | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 3.3% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 5.4% |
| Christina Pryne | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Claire Dennis | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Amy Hawkins | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 6.1% |
| Cara Vavolotis | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Emily Maxwell | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 1.1% |
| Katrina Williams | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Emily Gowell | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 14.7% | 13.2% |
| Christina Baker | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 18.2% | 17.0% |
| Hillary Paulsen | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 13.9% | 50.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.