Race 1A

harvard-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Elizabeth Deveau 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.6% 1.3% 2.5% 4.2% 40.0% 49.2%
William Rowland 0.3% 0.3% 0.6% 1.0% 0.5% 0.6% 2.0% 1.5% 5.8% 38.5% 48.9%
Nick Waldo 4.4% 4.6% 4.2% 6.5% 6.6% 9.4% 12.0% 16.9% 26.6% 7.8% 1.0%
Tevis Nichols 7.0% 8.1% 8.5% 10.3% 11.6% 14.9% 12.7% 14.2% 10.3% 2.3% 0.1%
Matthew Russell 6.6% 7.8% 7.3% 10.0% 9.3% 10.4% 14.2% 14.6% 15.9% 3.4% 0.5%
Conor Fowler 9.8% 13.0% 11.5% 10.1% 12.2% 14.7% 11.3% 8.6% 7.2% 1.6% 0.0%
Jacob Tronaas 7.0% 5.6% 8.8% 9.6% 11.1% 9.4% 12.7% 15.7% 16.2% 3.7% 0.2%
Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk 24.1% 19.3% 16.2% 13.0% 11.0% 7.0% 5.8% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Sky Adams 13.4% 14.3% 13.6% 14.2% 12.5% 11.3% 8.5% 7.7% 3.9% 0.6% 0.0%
Cecilia Strombeck 18.2% 16.6% 15.5% 13.0% 13.1% 9.8% 6.7% 5.4% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Ryan Byrne 8.9% 10.0% 13.4% 11.7% 11.6% 11.9% 12.8% 10.1% 7.9% 1.6% 0.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.