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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University1.86+5.51vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.81+4.09vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.02+1.74vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.60+2.74vs Predicted
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5George Washington University0.93+4.00vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University-1.38+0.04vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University0.97+1.45vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii1.05+0.08vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College-0.13+4.05vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91-0.41vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.22-3.50vs Predicted
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12Fordham University0.71-1.54vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67-3.33vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island0.12-2.47vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan-0.64-1.35vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.48-5.94vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University0.65-5.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.51Georgetown University1.869.2%1st Place
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6.09College of Charleston1.819.8%1st Place
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4.74Tulane University2.0216.4%1st Place
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6.74University of South Florida1.607.4%1st Place
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9.0George Washington University0.934.7%1st Place
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6.04Jacksonville University-1.3812.5%1st Place
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8.45Old Dominion University0.976.1%1st Place
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8.08University of Hawaii1.055.9%1st Place
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13.05Connecticut College-0.131.8%1st Place
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9.59Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.913.6%1st Place
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7.5Northeastern University1.226.4%1st Place
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10.46Fordham University0.713.8%1st Place
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9.67St. Mary's College of Maryland0.673.8%1st Place
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11.53University of Rhode Island0.121.9%1st Place
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13.65University of Michigan-0.641.2%1st Place
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10.06University of Vermont0.483.8%1st Place
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11.83Christopher Newport University0.651.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly Bates | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Emma Tallman | 9.8% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Samantha Gardner | 16.4% | 14.7% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Avery Canavan | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.0% |
| Emily Allen | 12.5% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Gianna Dewey | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 16.1% | 24.9% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.4% |
| Eva Ermlich | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 5.2% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 3.5% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 9.4% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 16.0% | 33.3% |
| Audrey Commerford | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 3.7% |
| Grace Watlington | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 13.9% | 11.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.