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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.73+7.78vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.95+5.87vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.05+8.66vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.55+1.44vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.70+3.63vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.80+2.25vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.27+3.48vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.65+0.80vs Predicted
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9Boston College4.12-2.04vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.18+1.12vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.05+0.53vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-4.52vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-4.13vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College3.18-3.42vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy3.74-6.48vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont3.63-6.95vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College3.23-6.22vs Predicted
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18Michigan State University1.36-1.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.78Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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7.87Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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11.66University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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5.44Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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8.63Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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8.25Stanford University3.800.1%1st Place
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10.48Brown University3.270.0%1st Place
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8.8College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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6.96Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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11.12Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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11.53Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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7.48U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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8.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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10.58Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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8.52U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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9.05University of Vermont3.630.0%1st Place
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10.78Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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16.19Michigan State University1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| William Macdonald | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 6.0% |
| Graham Landy | 14.6% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Astwood | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Hans Henken | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Nathan Allman | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 3.1% |
| Jake Reynolds | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 0.5% |
| Raul Rios | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Ian Storck | 4.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 4.4% |
| Michael Drumm | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 6.8% |
| Avery Fanning | 7.1% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Alexander Stewart | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Jack McGuire | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 4.7% |
| Mary Hall | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Bryce Kopp | 3.7% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 3.1% |
| Bill Weiland | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 64.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.