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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.73+7.67vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.70+6.79vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.74+5.58vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+2.98vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.65+3.75vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.18+4.73vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College3.18+3.69vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.95-0.45vs Predicted
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9Boston College4.12-2.20vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.05+1.47vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-1.97vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.27-1.32vs Predicted
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13Stanford University3.80-4.94vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont3.63-5.43vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.58-2.07vs Predicted
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16Harvard University3.05-4.75vs Predicted
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17Michigan State University1.36-0.74vs Predicted
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18Yale University4.55-12.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.67Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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8.79Boston University3.700.0%1st Place
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8.58U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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6.98U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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8.75College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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10.73Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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10.69Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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7.55Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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6.8Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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11.47University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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9.03Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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10.68Brown University3.270.0%1st Place
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8.06Stanford University3.800.1%1st Place
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8.57University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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12.93Connecticut College2.580.0%1st Place
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11.25Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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16.26Michigan State University1.360.0%1st Place
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5.21Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Ryan Astwood | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Mary Hall | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Avery Fanning | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Jake Reynolds | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| Ian Storck | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 3.8% |
| Jack McGuire | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 3.6% |
| William Macdonald | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Raul Rios | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 5.2% |
| Alexander Stewart | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Nathan Allman | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 2.9% |
| Hans Henken | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Alexander Giordano | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 14.0% | 17.1% | 12.1% |
| Michael Drumm | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 4.5% |
| Bill Weiland | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 11.6% | 62.9% |
| Graham Landy | 13.0% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.