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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.55+4.64vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+5.33vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.05+8.64vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.73+4.50vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.74+3.50vs Predicted
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6Boston College4.12+0.99vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+2.07vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.23+2.53vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont3.630.00vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.05+1.63vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.27-0.32vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.80-3.31vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.70-4.43vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University3.95-6.60vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College3.18-4.20vs Predicted
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16Michigan State University1.36+0.31vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College3.18-6.01vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston3.65-9.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.64Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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7.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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11.64Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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8.5Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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8.5U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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6.99Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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9.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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10.53Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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9.0University of Vermont3.630.0%1st Place
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11.63University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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10.68Brown University3.270.0%1st Place
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8.69Stanford University3.800.1%1st Place
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8.57Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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7.4Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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10.8Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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16.31Michigan State University1.360.0%1st Place
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10.99Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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8.74College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Landy | 12.5% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Avery Fanning | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Michael Drumm | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 4.9% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Mary Hall | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Raul Rios | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Alexander Stewart | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Bryce Kopp | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 2.6% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 12.5% | 6.4% |
| Nathan Allman | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 3.3% |
| Hans Henken | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Ryan Astwood | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| William Macdonald | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Jack McGuire | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 4.4% |
| Bill Weiland | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 11.2% | 64.6% |
| Ian Storck | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 5.0% |
| Jake Reynolds | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.