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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.27+9.69vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.73+6.79vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+6.29vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.12+2.94vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont3.63+3.95vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.95+1.67vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.05+4.39vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.70+0.59vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.05+2.38vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College3.18+1.13vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-3.68vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College3.23-1.00vs Predicted
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13Yale University4.55-7.65vs Predicted
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14Stanford University3.80-6.01vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy3.74-6.50vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College3.18-5.07vs Predicted
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17Michigan State University1.36-0.63vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston3.65-9.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.69Brown University3.270.0%1st Place
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8.79Tufts University3.730.0%1st Place
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9.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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6.94Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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8.95University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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7.67Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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11.39University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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8.59Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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11.38Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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11.13Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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7.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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11.0Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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5.35Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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7.99Stanford University3.800.1%1st Place
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8.5U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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10.93Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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16.37Michigan State University1.360.0%1st Place
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8.72College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Allman | 3.8% | 2.8% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 3.6% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 0.3% |
| Alexander Stewart | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 0.5% |
| Raul Rios | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| William Macdonald | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 5.9% |
| Ryan Astwood | 5.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Michael Drumm | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 4.2% |
| Jack McGuire | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 4.4% |
| Avery Fanning | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Bryce Kopp | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 4.8% |
| Graham Landy | 13.4% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hans Henken | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Mary Hall | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Ian Storck | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 4.2% |
| Bill Weiland | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 10.1% | 66.3% |
| Jake Reynolds | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.